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Precious Metals News
- Gold Price Today In India: Yellow Metal Remains Volatile Amid Stock Market Crash, Check City-Wise Rates On - News18 April 7, 2025
- Gold, Silver Prices Today: Gold falls on MCX on weak global cues | Check city-wise rates on April 7 - India TV News April 7, 2025
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Category Archives: Investment
Is The Silver Market on the Edge of a Major Breakout?
Gold prices have pulled back slightly in early U.S. trading today, following record highs at the start of the week. Some short-term traders are locking in profits, causing a temporary dip. Meanwhile, silver continues to lag behind gold’s strength, raising the question—how long can this divergence last?
Gold is breaking records, but silver has yet to follow suit—could that be about to change?
In our latest GoldCore TV episode, we examine why silver may be on the cusp of a historic breakout. With supply shortages intensifying, industrial demand soaring, and cracks forming in the paper silver market, the conditions are aligning for a potential price surge.
Watch Now[embedded content]
We explore why silver is being drained from London vaults, what skyrocketing silver lease rates signal, and how the gold-to-silver ratio suggests silver is overdue for a major move. The growing supply deficit, combined with increasing demand from the tech sector, could push silver prices far beyond previous highs.
Some analysts are already predicting $40 silver by the end of the year, while others suggest we could see prices far beyond $100. Could this be the year silver investors have been waiting for?
As always, let us know your thoughts in the comments—we’d love to hear your take on the silver market’s next move.
David is the CEO of GoldCore.
Until Summer 2023 he was the Director of Marketing and Communications, responsible for all marketing and communications strategies and branding.
David joined GoldCore in 2008 as Director of Business Development and later took over as Director of Marketing and Communications in 2020.
Prior to this Dave managed and operated his own Marketing Agency and completed multiple coaching qualifications.
“Working for GoldCore gives you a fantastic lens through which to view global financial and geopolitical developments. I am very proud to be part of a company that contributes to increasing investors understanding of these developments.”
When he’s not at work, David is passionate about sailing and has completed the ‘Round Ireland Yacht Race’ twice. Continue reading →
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Stock Futures Rise Before Data as Nvidia Advances: Markets Wrap
(Bloomberg) — US equity futures rose as traders awaited a batch of economic data for clues on the interest-rate outlook … Continue reading →
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The Dow’s Losses in Real Terms Picks Up Steam
Just last month, on January 6, I showed you a chart of Dow/Gold that suggested we would soon see the ratio begin … Continue reading →
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There Are Some Bullish Indicators in the Silver Market
Silver has quietly had a strong start to 2025, with the price up 12.6 percent. However, it remains significantly underpriced compared to gold from a historical perspective with the gold-silver ratio still above 90-1.
The gold-silver ratio tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold given the current spot price of both metals.
While industrial demand has a much bigger impact on the price of silver than gold, silver is still fundamentally a monetary metal and its price tends to track with gold over time. The gold-silver ratio reflects this relationship.
In the modern era, the gold-silver ratio has averaged between 40-1 and 60-1. The current ratio running so much wider than that historical spread indicates that silver is underpriced and is a bargain compared to gold.
As with most averages, the gold-silver ratio tends to eventually return to the mean when it gets significantly out of whack. Over the last few decades, this snap-back has tended to happen very quickly.
For instance, in 2020, the gold-silver ratio set a record of 123-1 as the pandemic gripped and then plunged to around 60-1 as central banks around the world cranked up the money creation machine to cope with governments shutting down economies.
The 2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession provide another example. The spread rose to over 80-1 in the early days of the crisis and then fell to 30-1 as the Federal Reserve cranked up the money printing machine.
These two examples indicate that there appears to be some correlation between the gold-silver ratio and central bank money creation. The spread tends to drop when the Fed cranks up money creation and opens back up when the central bank attempts to tighten monetary policy.
The ratio did narrow as the Fed began discussing monetary easing last summer, but it now appears that the central bank is trying to slow rate cuts due to sticky price inflation. Even so, the slowdown in balance sheet reduction the Fed initiated last summer and the three rate cuts late last year have already created a more inflationary environment with the money supply rising. This is, by definition, inflation. This has supported both gold and silver prices, along with market volatility caused by the flow of metal from London to New York due to tariff threats and other factors.
Given the level of debt and malinvestments in the economy due to decades of easy money, it’s only a matter of time before the Fed is forced to lean back into monetary easing. This could be the catalyst to drive silver higher and close the gold-silver ratio.
The supply and demand dynamics also indicate that silver is underpriced.
There is also a technical indicator that is bullish for silver.
Last fall, I reported on a “secular cup and handle” pattern in silver. Since November, we have seen a short-term cup and handle patent develop within the handle of the larger secular trend.
You can see the “cup” with the twin highs of just below $33 per ounce. Following the last peak, we see a dip in the price followed by what appears to be a consolidation “handle.”
A handle pattern on the chart of a stock or commodity often precedes a breakout.
This potential breakout will be something to watch for in the coming weeks.
Regardless, given the gold-silver ratio spread, silver appears to be set up for a significant leg up in the near to midterm. If this plays out as it has historically, this is a good time for investors to take advantage of silver’s relatively lower price before the breakout begins. Continue reading →
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Gold edges back up above $2900
Gold edges back up above the $2900 an ounce mark early Wednesday after hitting a one-week low in the previous … Continue reading →
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S&P 500 to end 2025 up 9% from here, but Trump-related uncertainties mount: Reuters poll
By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK (Reuters) – The S&P 500 will finish 2025 up about 9% from now, but volatility … Continue reading →
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The Fort Knox Gold Conspiracy Theory
Fort Knox, known officially as the United States Bullion Depository, holds as much mystery as the gold it supposedly secures. … Continue reading →
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Playing With Fire, As A Correction Ensues
Summary The President is embarking on a trade war that could put the economic expansion at risk and the rest … Continue reading →
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Technical Scoop: Rising Inflation, Golden Haven, Oily Bottom
Excerpt from this week’s: Technical Scoop: Rising Inflation, Golden Haven, Oily Bottom
Copper prices have broken out and are rising. This is a sign of inflationary pressures. Copper is also a leading indicator for gold. As noted, gold has already been making new all-time highs. As the chaos continues, we expect it to rise further. We continue to have targets up around $3,600 although expect resistance along the way. There continues to be signs that gold is being pulled out of the London markets and transferred to the U.S. to avoid tariffs down the road. The only bothering sign for gold, at least in the near term is what appears as an ascending wedge triangle. If correct it is short-term bearish and gold, if it were to break under $2,900, could in effect see a decline to $2,700. Gold stocks took it on the chin on Friday Feb 21, 2025 alongside the 700+ point drop for the DJI. Not a good sign. If we do get that break (a real possibility) the next move up for gold would take us to $3,000 and higher.
U.S. 10-Year Treasury note vs. CPI rate of change 2016-2025
Source: www.tradingeconomics.com, www.bls.gov
Source: www.stockcharts.com
Source: www.stockcharts.com
Markets & Trends
% Gains (Losses) Trends
Close
Dec 31/24
Close
Feb 21/25
Week
YTD
Daily (Short Term)
Weekly (Intermediate)
Monthly (Long Term)
Stock Market Indices
S&P 500
5,881.63
6,013.13 (new highs) *
(1.7)%
2.2%
up (weak)
up
up
Dow Jones Industrials
42,544.22
43,428.02
(2.5)%
2.1%
neutral
up
up
Dow Jones Transport
16,030.66
16,034.36
(3.5)%
0.9%
down (weak)
up
up
NASDAQ
19,310.79
19,524.01
(2.5)%
1.1%
neutral
up
up
S&P/TSX Composite
24,796.40
25,147.03
(1.3)%
1.7%
neutral
up
up
S&P/TSX Venture (CDNX)
597.87
634.69
(0.9)%
6.2%
up
up
neutral
S&P 600 (small)
1,408.17
1,378.06
(3.6)%
(2.1)%
down
up
up
MSCI World
2,304.50
2,478.41
0.2%
7.6%
up
up
up
Bitcoin
93,467.13
95,610.98
(1.4)%
2.3%
down
up
up
Gold Mining Stock Indices
Gold Bugs Index (HUI)
275.58
320.59
(1.6)%
16.3%
up
up
up
TSX Gold Index (TGD)
336.87
402.50
(0.4)%
19.5%
up
up
up
%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond yield
4.58%
4.43%
(1.1)%
(3.3)%
Cdn. 10-Year Bond CGB yield
3.25%
3.13%
1.0%
(3.7)%
Recession Watch Spreads
U.S. 2-year 10-year Treasury spread
0.33%
0.23%
9.5%
(30.3)%
Cdn 2-year 10-year CGB spread
0.30%
0.39%
5.4%
30.0%
Currencies
US$ Index
108.44
106.64
0.1%
(1.7)%
down
up
up
Canadian $
69.49
.7025
(0.4)%
1.1%
up
down
down
Euro
103.54
104.59
(0.3)%
1.0%
up
down
down
Swiss Franc
110.16
111.45
0.3%
1.2%
up
down
neutral
British Pound
125.11
126.29
0.3%
0.9%
up
down
neutral
Japanese Yen
63.57
67.03
2.1%
5.4%
up
neutral
down
Precious Metals
Gold
2,641.00
2,953.20 (new highs) *
1.8%
11.8%
up
up
up
Silver
29.24
33.01
0.5%
12.9%
up
up
up
Platinum
910.50
987.7
(3.1)%
8.5%
neutral
up
up (weak)
Base Metals
Palladium
909.80
990.90
(1.8)%
8.9%
up (weak)
up (weak)
down
Copper
4.03
4.56
(2.2)%
13.2%
up
up
up (weak)
Energy
WTI Oil
71.72
70.40
(0.4)%
(1.8)%
down
down (weak)
down
Nat Gas
3.63
4.27 (new highs)
14.5%
17.6%
up
up
neutral
Source: www.stockcharts.com
* New All-Time Highs
Note: For an explanation of the trends, see the glossary at the end of this article.
New highs/lows refer to new 52-week highs/lows and, in some cases, all-time highs.
Read the FULL report here: Technical Scoop: Rising Inflation, Golden Haven, Oily Bottom
Disclaimer
David Chapman is not a registered advisory service and is not an exempt market dealer (EMD) nor a licensed financial advisor. He does not and cannot give individualised market advice. David Chapman has worked in the financial industry for over 40 years including large financial corporations, banks, and investment dealers. The information in this newsletter is intended only for informational and educational purposes. It should not be construed as an offer, a solicitation of an offer or sale of any security. Every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information. However, we cannot guarantee that there will be no errors. We make no claims, promises or guarantees about the accuracy, completeness, or adequacy of the contents of this commentary and expressly disclaim liability for errors and omissions in the contents of this commentary. David Chapman will always use his best efforts to ensure the accuracy and timeliness of all information. The reader assumes all risk when trading in securities and David Chapman advises consulting a licensed professional financial advisor or portfolio manager such as Enriched Investing Incorporated before proceeding with any trade or idea presented in this newsletter. David Chapman may own shares in companies mentioned in this newsletter. Before making an investment, prospective investors should review each security’s offering documents which summarize the objectives, fees, expenses and associated risks. David Chapman shares his ideas and opinions for informational and educational purposes only and expects the reader to perform due diligence before considering a position in any security. That includes consulting with your own licensed professional financial advisor such as Enriched Investing Incorporated. Performance is not guaranteed, values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. Continue reading →
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They Did WHAT with the Gold! Is A Gold Run Next?
[embedded content]They Did WHAT with the Gold! Is A Gold Run Next | https://www.themorganreport.com
That’s when you have a gold run or a run on the bank. And that’s what could be—I want to use the word could, not would—taking place right now,” says David Morgan, publisher of The Morgan Report. In an interview with Daniela Cambone, he compares the recent gold supply crunch in London, much of which was triggered by tariff threats as investors bought cheaper gold in London and sold it for a higher price in New York, to a traditional bank run. “Some gold holders started to wake up and say, wait a minute, there are delays in the LBMA. There shouldn’t be, or at least not that long. I’m going to get my gold back.” Additionally, he states that some of the gold stored in Fort Knox was coin melt, meaning it was taken from gold coins, which are typically made of 90% gold, not pure gold. “For a gold contract to be valid, it has to be 999 fine. In other words, it’s just gold, it’s not gold and another metal.
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Gold edging up near record high
Gold edging up near record high in Monday morning trading supported by a weaker dollar and haven demand triggered by … Continue reading →
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Gold Rises, Close to Record Levels Amid ETF Inflows
Gold futures were rising, holding close to record highs as geopolitical and trade tensions boost safe-haven demand.Futures were up 0.3% at $2,961.70 a troy ounce, close to an all-time high of $2,973.40/oz, set on Thursday.Gold recorded its eighth consecutive week of gains and a fresh high in recent days on fears that the U.S. could unwind its support for Ukraine in the war against Russia, ANZ Research analysts said in a note. Continue reading →
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